The votes are in, and on Wednesday, January 5, 2011, the Baseball Hall of Fame will announce its 2011 inductees. The ballot, containing 14 returning players and 19 who are in their first year of eligibility, can be viewed here. Players are required to have served ten years in Major League Baseball in order to be eligible, and appear on the ballot five years after their final big league game.
As always, there is plenty of speculation about this year’s ballot. Will Bert Blyleven finally be elected after years of gradual vote total increases? Will Roberto Alomar get the required 75% of the votes after missing by just a handful in 2010? Will Tim Raines, Barry Larkin, Alan Trammell, Don Mattingly, Jack Morris, Dale Murphy, and others see increases that indicate future potential electability, if not this year?
How many votes will Rafael Palmiero, who debuts on the ballot, receive (after having a consistently-good-but-never-great career, punctuated by his sworn statement before Congress in 2005 that he had never used steroids, followed by his positive steroid test a few months later)?
(I know, that was a bad sentence…)
And so on. Each year, there is a lot to talk about. Honestly, I’m just glad that Jim Rice and Andre Dawson were finally elected in the past two years, because I grew tired of hearing the arguments on either side. I liked Dawson for the HoF, although I considered him a borderline case, and thought that Rice was overrated, although I’m happy for him. It’s nice to move on, though.
Mark McGwire’s post-confession situation
This is the first year that the Baseball Writers Association of America voted since Mark McGwire tearfully confessed to, and apologized for, using steroids during his career on January 11th, 2010. In his four previous years of eligibility, he has received 23.5%, 23.6%, 21.9%, and 23.7% of the vote, all less than a third of the votes necessary for election. He has a long road to climb.
I’m curious to see if those vote totals rise significantly (7-15%) this year. Perhaps they will, but I think that there’s almost as strong a likelihood that they may be flat, or may even fall.
In my opinion, his case for the Hall of Fame has been strengthened by his controversial confession and apology.
Shortly after his televised interview with Bob Costas on MLB Network, I wrote two opinion pieces (first, second) on the subject, and those pieces came from a passionate place. McGwire’s apology, which I watched live in its entirety, affected me deeply. Watching someone humble himself so brutally on national television, when accepted in the spirit of humanity, is a profound experience. I was greatly affected by it, and felt that, even though it was far from satisfactory to the general media punditry, it was a valid confession and apology.
His confession affected me to such an extent that I was inspired to call my father a few days later and make a confession of my own. Doing so was an experience that freed me of a heavy burden that I had been carrying for years, and it opened the doors for a closeness and openness between us that the two of us had never experienced together before.
Confession doesn’t undo the wrong, but it can be cathartic, as well as a growth experience and a strong building block for relationships.
At any rate, in my opinion, Mark McGwire’s Hall of Fame candidacy was strengthened with that confession. That is an opinion that is not shared by most of my friends, some of whom were snickering about it at work during week following his interview, or by much of the media. This last point is what makes me wonder if his Hall of Fame chances may have actually been hurt by his confession.
Immediately after his confession, and again as the Hall of Fame discussion began this fall, there was, collectively, a particularly nasty reaction to, and discussion of, it. Virtually the entire talking-head crews of ESPN and MLB Network, along with SI.com’s Tom Verducci and many other columnists in newspapers, magazines, and on the internet, felt that McGwire’s assertion that he took steroids in order to help heal and prevent the debilitating injuries that were derailing his career, and not to hit more homers, was false. They also blasted his statement that he felt that steroids did not affect his performance directly, and that, had he been healthy and steroid-free, he believed that he would have still performed at a comparable level. The general consensus was that these two points of contention invalidated his confession, and the general reception was harsh.
My inclination is to think that there is a possibility that, if some voters had been leaning toward voting for McGwire, or have voted for him in the past, they may not do so now and in the future because they have either reacted negatively to those points in the confession, been swayed by those who have, or have simply been turned off by his admission of steroid use. This could have the effect of negating the votes of those who have changed their minds and voted for him this year for the first time, creating a situation where his vote totals could remain stagnant or even drop.
Now, if this turns out to be the case, I’m sure that if he had the chance to second guess himself, McGwire would certainly confess and apologize again, knowing that he was cementing his “steroid user” place in history. The Hall of Fame is of far less value than the personal freedom that he will experience for the rest of his life, since he does not have to keep his secret from his father, his wife, his friends, and the world. He has brought himself a great measure of peace, and for that I am grateful, as I’m sure he is.
Bryant Gumbel gets on his high horse and loses my respect
Notable among those who reacted harshly to McGwire’s confession was Bryant Gumbel of HBO’s Real Sports. Shortly after the confession, Gumbel read an “open letter” at the close of one of his shows in January 2010, in which he not only completely dismissed McGwire’s remorse with a colorful assortment of disrespectful comments, but implored the other “usual suspects” (Roger Clemens, Barry Bonds, Rafael Palmiero, Sammy Sosa) to take McGwire’s apology as an example of what not to do “when you decide to confess” (I’m paraphrasing Gumbel there).
In addition, he also named Jeff Bagwell, Nomar Garciaparra, and *Ivan Rodriguez, strong hitters who suffered injuries in their early thirties that curtailed their production or ended their careers, as obvious steroid users. This was rather big news at the time, as he was the first major commentator to blatantly slap the PED-user tag on Bagwell and Garciaparra.
*I’m not sure why he lumped Pudge in with the list of power hitters, because during the eight year stretch from 1997 to 2004 (his prime production years, ages 25-33), he only averaged 22.75 home runs per year, which is relatively pedestrian amount compared to the prodigious numbers that players were putting up at the time. He hit a lot of doubles and had well above a .300 batting average during that period, but while he was definitely a valuable hitter, his power numbers were relatively unremarkable. Rodriguez was named in Jose Canseco’s controversial book Juiced, so I’m not claiming that he was definitely not a steroid user. However, the quality of journalism displayed by Gumbel in this case, as with the rest of the “open letter,” is pretty poor.
Jeff Bagwell’s prospects in his debut on the ballot
This is the first year that Jeff Bagwell is eligible for the Hall of Fame. He had a remarkable and consistent career with the Houston Astros, hitting .297/.408/.540 with 449 homers and 1529 RBIs over 14 full seasons and part of 2005. He was one of the most fearsome hitters in the major leagues throughout his career, taking a wide batting stance, waving his bat menacingly while awaiting pitches, and hitting baseballs very hard.
Recently, accusations of steroid use by Bagwell have been ramping up considerably, most likely because of his initial appearance on the Hall of Fame ballot. Unfortunately, he has had to face questions about steroid use, and has repeatedly denied using them. Many have noted his precipitous drop-off in production in 2004-05, which was largely due to a degenerative arthritic condition in his right shoulder that had been affecting him since 2001. As Major League Baseball started testing players in earnest for PEDs in 2003, many have observed that several high-flying big league stars saw sharp drops in their numbers since then. Unfortunately for Bagwell, assuming that he’s innocent of the accusations, his ailing shoulder made him unable to play baseball relatively shortly after the testing began, which of course feeds the rumor mill to this day.
The Astros are notable for having several players in the spotlight concerning steroids. Lance Berkman has been vocally opposed to their use and in-favor of testing, while Roger Clemens and Andy Pettite, respectively, are presumed to have used/were guilty of using PEDs. Ken Caminiti, one of the most productive players in the 1990s, told Sports Illustrated that he had struggled with cocaine use throughout and after his career, and also admitted that he used steroids in 1996 and for several years afterward. Caminiti died in 2004 of acute intoxication due to the combined effects of cocaine and opiates, and also suffered from coronary artery disease and an enlarged heart, according to Wikipedia.
One of the great tragedies that has resulted from the steroid issue at large is that there are players who certainly did it “the right way,” but are still constantly subject to unpleasant scrutiny about the use of steroids. At this time, we have to presume that those who have not been found to have used PEDs, or have not confessed to having done so, are innocent. For now, Jeff Bagwell falls into the Ken Griffey Jr./Frank Thomas/Jim Thome/Albert Pujols/Larry Walker/etc. category of players who have not been connected with steroids.
My opinions and votes
If I had a Hall of Fame ballot, I would vote for Mark McGwire and Jeff Bagwell this year.
I would not have voted for McGwire at this time last year, because everything about him seemed clouded. However, in spite of his transgression, he was largely a positive force within the game. While steroids likely contributed to his immense strength, he worked very hard to become a student of hitting, something which is forgotten and/or poo-pooed by the experts. I don’t think that he will get in, at least for a long time, but it is my hope that humanity will shine in this situation, and his confession and the man himself will start to get some of the respect that they deserve.
I don’t think that Bagwell will get in this year either, but I think that he is someone who certainly deserves to, and should remain a strong candidate for years to come unless he is proven to have taken banned PEDs.
As for the rest of the field, I would vote for Alomar, Blyleven, Larkin, Mattingly, Raines, Trammell, Dale Murphy, and Larry Walker.
There are strong arguments against Mattingly, but he was one of my favorite players in the late eighties and early nineties, and I think that it’s unfortunate that injuries set him back in the second half of his career. He will probably never get in as a player, but I would still vote for him.
Trammell is very underrated. Unfortunately, he also may never be voted in by the BBWAA, which is a shame. Murphy was a great player, as well as a teammate, that every team would have loved to have, and would likely have been even more productive, for a multitude of reasons, if the Braves hadn’t generally stunk for the majority of his career.
I’d vote for Walker, even though he played the bulk of his career in the heyday of the Coors Field hitting factory. I am not sure that he’s a Hall of Famer; I think that his candidacy needs some more analysis, discussion, and time, and he definitely won’t get in this year, so I would vote for him in hopes that he would get more than 5% of the vote and remain on the ballot next year.
Blyleven, Alomar, Larkin, and Raines are all Hall of Famers in my book. It is my hope and belief that they will all be elected sooner than later, although time is running out for Blyleven.
Closing
Thanks for reading, if you’ve made it this far!
It will be interesting to see the ballot results on January 5th. I’m sure that there will be some surprises, a couple of injustices… and hopefully, someone will be elected!
It’s time to reject violent political rhetoric
January 9, 2011 4 Comments
Note: It’s late Saturday evening (January 8th) as I begin this post. It will be past midnight when I finish it.
I completed a different post earlier today, but just before I finished it I became aware of the shooting tragedy in Tucson. Representative Gabrielle Giffords (AZ-8th district) was shot in the head and is fighting for her life; Federal Judge John Roll and five others, including a nine-year-old girl, were shot and killed, and 13 others were critically wounded in the senseless shooting spree this morning.
The events in Arizona affected me profoundly, and I’ve decided to share a thought or two that I’m having about the situation.
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Late this afternoon, I learned of the shootings that took place today in Tucson, Arizona. Everything else immediately seemed to stop for me – other sounds and words were tuned out as I followed the developments on the internet.
In the evening, I caught most of a special edition of Countdown with Keith Olbermann on MSNBC. I don’t usually watch Olbermann (although his views align more closely with mine than those of the talking heads at Fox News do), because I tend to shy away from overtly partisan news, and both Olbermann and the pundits at Fox News can be sensational to varying degrees. This was an extraordinary occasion, though, and as such, there was a special edition of Countdown.
On the handful of occasions that I’ve watched Olbermann’s show, I’ve had to bring some grains of salt with me. This is not because there is no truth in what he says, but an astute mind will challenge what he hears or reads by looking for facts and sorting through BS.
With that said, I’m glad that I tuned in.
Olbermann’s voice faltered occasionally, belying an internal struggle with emotions at times. His sadness and passion for the subjects discussed on the program were clearly evident to me, and I was grateful for that.
He spent a significant portion of his time talking about the subject of violent rhetoric and its place in politics; or rather, the idea that it should have no place in politics. And in his closing “Special Comment,” he declared that the time for violent speech is over, and called for an immediate end to all use of violent metaphors and rhetoric from politicians, activists, and people of influence on radio, television, and other media (I’m paraphrasing).
He also apologized multiple times for making violent remarks on one occasion in particular, made clear that he did not condone them, and further apologized for any other time that he might have made remarks that inadvertently were violent or caused someone to think that he wished for something terrible to happen to another person.
To watch his Special Comment, click here. Other portions of the program can be found on the Countdown site at MSNBC as well.
But this post is not about Keith Olbermann. His show was merely a part of my Saturday night experience this weekend.
* * * * *
Two months ago, I wrote a couple of posts about the deteriorating quality of public discourse. In my post from November 9th, I touched on the idea that people often don’t seem to be aware of the consequences of their words and actions, particularly in this age where it is possible to make and publish statements publicly (and, in some cases, anonymously). From some of our country’s most prominent political figures and personalities down a certain subset of people who litter chat channels in video games and other social outlets, it seems that modesty, politeness, and respect have been been widely eschewed in favor of disrespect, taunting, name-calling, hate-spew, and violent speech of one kind or another.
As I was reading about what happened in Tucson, I began to think about Sarah Palin’s political hit list, the controversial “crosshairs map,” which she posted on her website last year (and removed shortly after the shooting occurred). I then thought about Bill O’Reilly, who referred to abortion doctor George Tiller (murdered during a service at his church on May 31, 2009), as “Tiller the baby killer” two dozen times on his show, according to Politifact. I thought of others who have recently shown a disquieting comfort or familiarity with violent or war-related speech, as used for political (or other) gain.
Keith Olbermann’s commentary closely matches my own feelings on the subject.
We don’t know, and perhaps we will never know, exactly why the shooter committed such a heinous set of crimes in Tucson. Perhaps he was encouraged in part by violent political rhetoric, perhaps not.
However…
In today’s world, we have access to astounding amounts of information – it’s at our fingertips and on our televisions. The majority of households in the U.S. have internet access, and nine in ten children are online in some fashion.
Keith Olbermann has called for an end to all use of violent rhetoric, metaphors, and speech, in our nation’s public political discourse, regardless of party, political position, or any other divisive associations. In the coming weeks, I know for a fact that we will see an as-yet-unknown number of public figures, as well as hordes of commenters on blogs and other social media, reject part or all of that idea because it came from a person who differs from them ideologically.
And while we may never know if any of the recent violent speech (etc.) had an impact on the killer’s motivations, it’s almost impossible to know for sure that those words weren’t taken the wrong way by someone.
Think about it. If a public figure makes a violent statement against someone, it could be read, heard or viewed by thousands, perhaps hundreds of thousands or even millions, of people, including children and those who are mentally unstable.
Politics is a lot of marketing, and, despite all of the demographic studies that are done for both fields, at the end of the day, the message goes out to the general public, hitting its target audiences as well as others. If the wrong person gets a flippant or ill-considered message, the consequences could be tragic.
Again, we don’t know that anything negative will come of it. However, we also can’t be certain that the opposite will be true.
* * * * *
It starts with our leaders, parents, public figures, and mentors, .
In order to maintain a de facto civilized society, our leaders and public figures must set an example by dealing with one another respectfully and courteously. Political differences are a way of life, but we are all human beings – and not just “at the end of the day,” “when the dust settles,” etc.
Whether we believe it or not, our words make an impression on others. By speaking cautiously and treating others with respect, wherever we are in life (and on whatever platform or through whichever social media outlet), we lay the groundwork for positivity, well-being, growth…
And as citizens, we can’t stand silent and consider violence and violent speech acceptable. It can be eliminated, at least on a political level, if sensible people will collectively reject it.
Violence is simply awful. “Violent” is even a harsh-sounding word, appropriately describing its manifestation. The idea of a gunshot wound is absolutely horrifying in and of itself – it’s sudden, instant, irrevocable, and violent – and countless parents, widows, and friends of victims of violence have had their hearts broken when their loved ones have been taken away.
With that said: don’t become numb to violence and violent speech/rhetoric. It is not trivial. All of the “desensitization” that we hear about nowadays is something of a fallacy, because death is just as real as it was, and hits just as hard as it did, before violent video games, movies and lyrics became widely accepted. It certainly changed countless lives this weekend.
* * * * *
In closing, I realize that some of what I hope for is idealistic. It’s unrealistic to think that there will be a widespread elimination of the vitriol that we encounter way too often in our lives. However, maybe the events in Tucson will serve as a wake-up call to both politicians/public figures and citizens in general. Perhaps enough people will consider how they interact with one another that civility will gain market share, and public figures and officers will be held accountable for the quality of their discourse.
In the meantime, our thoughts and prayers are with the victims and their families. I sincerely hope that Rep. Giffords will pull through, and will be able to have some quality of life again.
Filed under Blogging & Social Media, politics Tagged with commentary, politics